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- Deciphering economic data reports ππ₯Έ
Deciphering economic data reports ππ₯Έ
Unpacking last week's market trendsππ
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π β¨ Good morning, Real Estate Rockstars! π β¨
Even Denzel had a moment of suspense. π±π Let's talk shop about last week's market moves, shall we? Friday's trading session, along with the rest of the week, played out quite sensibly, if you can believe it. π The economic data from the previous week hinted that there wasn't much need for rates to climb any higher. And guess what? This week's data didn't exactly contradict that notion, if you catch our drift. π
The cherry on top? Friday's jobs report was the real star of the show. π Revisions, unemployment figures, and wages all conspired to put on quite the performance, easily outweighing any concerns about the headline number not quite meeting expectations. Phew! π
So, what's the takeaway? Well, the past couple of months' worth of Non-Farm Payrolls readings suddenly make a whole lot more sense, don't they? And hey, it's no surprise that bonds saw a modest rally in response. π
Here's a closer look at the key highlights from the report:
Nonfarm Payrolls
π 275k vs 200k forecast
π Last month revised down to 229k from 353k
Unemployment Rate
π 3.9 vs 3.7 forecast, 3.7 previous
Wages
π 0.1 vs 0.3 forecast, 0.5 previous
With over 200k jobs added, the job market is still flexing its muscles, and unemployment remains comfortably below 4%. But hey, let's not get too cozy just yet. Next week's CPI data could be the real game-changer, determining just how quickly we can put February's less-than-friendly numbers behind us. π
This intricate interplay of data points places heightened significance on next week's CPI release, poised to act as the deciding factor in the trajectory of rates leading up to the Fed announcement the following week. The recent rally in rates over the past week and a half may either continue unabated or find itself curtailed, signaling a potential correction to the early-2024 rate spike. Regardless, it's worth noting the perceptible slowdown in the pace of this rally, suggesting a shift in market dynamics.
Stay tuned, folks! We've got our eyes peeled for what's next in the ever-exciting world of real estate and finance. Until next time, keep those deals cooking! π₯